House Republicans are in danger of losing much of the diversity in their ranks made during the last election cycle.
Freshman lawmakers who provided modest gains to the GOP conference’s racial and gender diversity, like Reps. Mia Love (Utah), Will Hurd (Texas) and Carlos Curbelo (Fla.), are among the most endangered incumbents this year.
More than half of the 36 Democratic recruits currently identified by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) as the most competitive House candidates, meanwhile, are women and minorities. By contrast, Republicans have relatively few female or non-white new recruits running for the most contested seats.
But Republicans are fielding fewer recruits than Democrats since they’re largely defending incumbents this cycle to retain their historic 247-seat majority.
Democrats would have to flip 30 seats in order to retake the House majority, meaning there are far more districts where they’re on offense and looking for new talent.
Still, the pattern was on display last week as the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), the House GOP’s campaign arm, released a list of 11 top-tier candidates for its “Young Guns” program that were mostly white and male.