One of Wall Street’s biggest memes of the last decade is here – Akin Oyedele December 2016


The elusive great rotation from bonds to stocks is finally happening.

About a decade ago, investors started a big shift in their asset allocations away from bonds and into stocks. That prompted calls that bond funds would experience an even greater exodus that would end the bull market.

But the long-term rally in bonds kept going for several years until, arguably, the 2016 US election. Bond yields rose to multi-year highs and their prices fell as investors bet that President-elect Donald Trump’s administration would begin a shift towards fiscal stimulus, and reduce the Federal Reserve’s need for aggressive monetary policy.

The promised fiscal stimulus was expected to be reflationary for the US economy, reducing the attractiveness of bonds.

At the same time, investors’ bets on a lower regulatory burden and corporate tax reform pushed stocks, notably those in the financials sector, to all-time highs.

And the chart that Deutsche Bank’s Torsten Sløk shared in a note on Tuesday titled “Great rotation from bonds to stocks is here” captures this shift.

slok great rotation COTDDeutsche Bank

Article continues:

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s